Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 4.040215 4.336982 4.654407 5.020823 5.434194 5.888551 6.429122
2025-06-08 3.562064 3.976713 4.449034 5.033501 5.746867 6.602351 7.726850
2025-06-15 3.296189 3.779459 4.354530 5.102870 6.072418 7.318967 9.102618
2025-06-22 2.994681 3.493639 4.104662 4.927302 6.038520 7.541452 9.836215
2025-06-29 2.779265 3.288443 3.926922 4.811535 6.050352 7.803325 10.646487
2025-07-06 2.610755 3.126082 3.785422 4.721919 6.075979 8.072566 11.501478
2025-07-13 2.491949 3.017492 3.702884 4.700008 6.187823 8.474953 12.646287
2025-07-20 2.424772 2.970707 3.697152 4.781433 6.455851 9.153131 14.431730
2025-07-27 2.373195 2.940160 3.709314 4.886483 6.767887 9.948355 16.665275
2025-08-03 2.297081 2.870675 3.660693 4.894125 6.921148 10.488439 18.540657
2025-08-10 2.206036 2.775191 3.568242 4.825682 6.938005 10.777924 19.942791
2025-08-17 2.105838 2.661986 3.443541 4.697014 6.837611 10.826484 20.774991
2025-08-24 2.020602 2.569341 3.348561 4.616060 6.825542 11.074409 22.301433
2025-08-31 1.965256 2.517451 3.311917 4.627594 6.982613 11.703300 25.210648
2025-09-07 1.926723 2.487663 3.306177 4.688460 7.236552 12.592242 29.463482
2025-09-14 1.839020 2.381881 3.178485 4.534391 7.063998 12.486792 30.299309
2025-09-21 1.769684 2.300619 3.084949 4.432587 6.983376 12.585133 31.981827
2025-09-28 1.710380 2.231958 3.007748 4.353663 6.939673 12.764991 34.130510
2025-10-05 1.668322 2.187477 2.966354 4.334351 7.013957 13.254486 38.017638
2025-10-12 1.648700 2.175880 2.976221 4.406088 7.283874 14.315794 45.810341
2025-10-19 1.634279 2.171416 2.996963 4.498515 7.609467 15.625018 57.146157
2025-10-26 1.603266 2.140148 2.972381 4.505233 7.747320 16.431952 66.952709
2025-11-02 1.560866 2.089783 2.914190 4.445037 7.726993 16.749939 73.761336